At the end of the 1st quarter 2013, Boeing was struggling to re-right the 787 ship in light of the lithium ion battery issues which had forced a grounding of the aircraft. One quarter later the ship is righted and with it the deliveries have re-commenced. Boeing had several Dreamliners waiting for delivery when the FAA had lifted the grounding. Boing delivered 7 aircraft in May and 9 in June with delivery later in the summer poised to be at higher rates.
Production did slow down as Boeing had spent most of this month in reconfiguring and reconstructing the main 787 final assembly line in building 40-26. Because of this and the Temporary Surge Line in 40-24 being used exclusively for 787-9 final assembly, 787-8 production from Everett was essentially stopped. Aircraft still rolled off the line as these were loaded prior to June but there won't be too many 787s rolling out in Everett during July. Still, we should see the 1st 787-9 rolling off the line in July and most 787s coming out of 40-26 or 40-24 were ones that were already assembled but needed to finish some minor assembly tasks during the next one month.
To date Boeing has delivered 17 787s to customers. They have 29 post-L/N 66 Dreamliners waiting for delivery as well which I believe they should deliver by the end of September. Boeing should be able to assemble 24 more 787s through mid November from all three lines. It takes Boeing about 6 weeks from roll out to deliver the aircraft in to the customer though this varies from customer to customer. Additionally, Boeing should be able to deliver 9 787s from EMC in the next 6 months. This would total 62 787s delivered in the second half of the year. Combined with the 17 already delivered and the total project 2013 787 deliveries should be around 79. This total would not include the 787-9 built this year.
Full 787 List
Current 787 Production List
Delivered 787 List
787 Monthly Delivery Tracking
787 Customer Delivery
Sunday, June 30, 2013
787 June 30, 2013 update
Labels:
40-24,
40-26,
787,
787 Deliveries,
787-8,
787-9,
Boeing,
Boeing Charleston,
Dreamliner,
EMC,
FAA,
lithium ion,
surge line
Saturday, June 22, 2013
787 spreadsheets
There's been a lot of chatter about viewing the spreadsheets. In the past I've been embedding the sheets in my posts (not all of the posts though). I'm going to continue to embed them in most of my posts but I'm also going to add a web link.
If it proves to be popular I may discontinue to embed them and just use a web link. I'm trying to see if there is a way I can add the ability for viewers to filter the spreadsheets but not edit or alter the information (I need to keep control over that process, I'm kinda of a control freak that way). If someone knows how to add the filtering capabilities to published sheets, I appreciate if you would let me know.
Here are the web links for the more popular sheets:
Full 787 List
Current 787 Production List
Delivered 787 List
787 Monthly Delivery Tracking
787 Customer Delivery
I hope it makes the blog more enjoyable.
Uresh
If it proves to be popular I may discontinue to embed them and just use a web link. I'm trying to see if there is a way I can add the ability for viewers to filter the spreadsheets but not edit or alter the information (I need to keep control over that process, I'm kinda of a control freak that way). If someone knows how to add the filtering capabilities to published sheets, I appreciate if you would let me know.
Here are the web links for the more popular sheets:
Full 787 List
Current 787 Production List
Delivered 787 List
787 Monthly Delivery Tracking
787 Customer Delivery
I hope it makes the blog more enjoyable.
Uresh
Wednesday, June 19, 2013
Paris Air Show 2013 - Day 3 Airbus and Boeing Order Summary
Here's the round up of orders for Boeing and Airbus during the first 3 days of the air show:
Boeing
GECAS - 10 x 787-10 (MoU)
Skymark Airlines - unknown number of 737 MAX (MoU)
Qatar Airways - 2 x 777-300ER (7 options) (Firm Order)
United Airlines - 20 x 787-10 (10 conversions from 787-9, 10 new order) (MoU)
British Airways - 12 x 787-10 (MoU)
Singapore Airlines - 30 x 787-10 (Exercise of existing options needed to be confirmed)
ALC - 30 x 787-10, 3 x 787-9 (MoU)
Korean Airlines - 5 x 747-8I, 6 x 777-300ER (MoU)
CIT - 30 x 737 MAX8 (10 new orders, 20 conversions, Firm)
Oman Air - 5 x 737-900ER (Firm)
Travel Service - 3 x 737 MAX8 (MoU)
Ryanair - 175 x 737-800 (Firm)
Totals by model:
737-800 - 175 (Firm)
737-900ER - 5 (Firm)
737 MAX8 - 10 (Firm), 20 conversions (Firm), 3 (MoU)
747-8I - 5 MoU
777-300ER - 2 firm, 6 MoU, 7 Options
787-9 - 3 MoU
787-10 - 92 MoU (does not count the 10 conversion from 787-9)
Airbus
Doric Leasing - 20 x A380-800 (MoU)
ILFC - 50 x A320 NEO (Firm)
Lufthansa - 70 x A320 NEO (Firm), 30 x A320 CEO (Firm)
Syphax - 3 x A320 NEO, 3 x A320 CEO (MoU)
easyJet - 35 x A320 CEO; 100 x A320 NEO (MoU)
Air France - 25 x A350-900 (Firm)
Sri Lankan - 6 x A330-300, 4 x A350-900 (MoU)
Totals by model:
A320 CEO - 30 Firm, 38 MoU
A320 NEO - 120 Firm, 103 MoU
A380 - 20 MoU
A350-900 - 25 (Firm), 4 (MoU)
A330-300 - 6 (MoU)
Boeing
GECAS - 10 x 787-10 (MoU)
Skymark Airlines - unknown number of 737 MAX (MoU)
Qatar Airways - 2 x 777-300ER (7 options) (Firm Order)
United Airlines - 20 x 787-10 (10 conversions from 787-9, 10 new order) (MoU)
British Airways - 12 x 787-10 (MoU)
Singapore Airlines - 30 x 787-10 (Exercise of existing options needed to be confirmed)
ALC - 30 x 787-10, 3 x 787-9 (MoU)
Korean Airlines - 5 x 747-8I, 6 x 777-300ER (MoU)
CIT - 30 x 737 MAX8 (10 new orders, 20 conversions, Firm)
Oman Air - 5 x 737-900ER (Firm)
Travel Service - 3 x 737 MAX8 (MoU)
Ryanair - 175 x 737-800 (Firm)
Totals by model:
737-800 - 175 (Firm)
737-900ER - 5 (Firm)
737 MAX8 - 10 (Firm), 20 conversions (Firm), 3 (MoU)
747-8I - 5 MoU
777-300ER - 2 firm, 6 MoU, 7 Options
787-9 - 3 MoU
787-10 - 92 MoU (does not count the 10 conversion from 787-9)
Airbus
Doric Leasing - 20 x A380-800 (MoU)
ILFC - 50 x A320 NEO (Firm)
Lufthansa - 70 x A320 NEO (Firm), 30 x A320 CEO (Firm)
Syphax - 3 x A320 NEO, 3 x A320 CEO (MoU)
easyJet - 35 x A320 CEO; 100 x A320 NEO (MoU)
Air France - 25 x A350-900 (Firm)
Sri Lankan - 6 x A330-300, 4 x A350-900 (MoU)
Totals by model:
A320 CEO - 30 Firm, 38 MoU
A320 NEO - 120 Firm, 103 MoU
A380 - 20 MoU
A350-900 - 25 (Firm), 4 (MoU)
A330-300 - 6 (MoU)
Labels:
Paris Air Show 2013
Tuesday, June 18, 2013
Boeing launches 787-10; Paris Air Show 2013 - Day 2 Airbus & Boeing Order Summary
Boeing Photo
After more than 5 years of will they or won't they, Boeing finally did...they launched the 787-10 after years of speculation and being at times being put on the back burner while Boeing grappled with getting the 787 program on track during the three plus years of delays.
The announcement was anti-climatic as the Boeing board gave management the authority to Offer (ATO) last year and speculation increased when British Airways exercised 18 787 options earlier this year and Singapore Airlines concluded an agreement to buy the jet last month pending formal launch of the aircraft which took place today. The formal launch of this aircraft kicks off a 5+ year development cycle which will lead to first flight in 2017 and certification and first delivery in 2018. It is not known to whom the first delivery will be made.
There were 5 launch customers announced today:
ALC - 30
British Airways - 12 (they exercised 18 options so I assume the other 6 are for either the 787-8, 787-9 or a mixture of both)
GECAS - 10, this is the first time that GECAS is buying the 787 despite parent GE being one of two engine suppliers.
Singapore Airlines - 30
United Airlines - 20 with 10 being a conversion of previously ordered 787-9.
Here's the round up of orders for Boeign and Airbus during the first 2 days of the air show:
Boeing GECAS - 10 x 787-10 (MoU)
Skymark Airlines - unknown number of 737 MAX (MoU)
Qatar Airways - 2 x 777-300ER (7 options) (Firm Order)
United Airlines - 20 x 787-10 (10 conversions from 787-9, 10 new order) (MoU)
British Airways - 12 x 787-10 (MoU)
Singapore Airlines - 30 x 787-10 (Exercise of existing options needed to be confirmed)
ALC - 30 x 787-10, 3 x 787-9 (MoU)
Korean Airlines - 5 x 747-8I, 6 x 777-300ER (MoU)
Totals by model:
747-8I - 5 MoU
777-300ER - 2 firm, 6 MoU, 7 Options
787-9 - 3 MoU
787-10 - 92 MoU (does not count the 10 conversion from 787-9)
Airbus
Doric Leasing - 20 x A380-800 (MoU)
ILFC - 50 x A320 NEO (Firm)
Lufthansa - 70 x A320 NEO (Firm), 30 x A320 CEO (Firm)
Syphax - 3 x A320 NEO, 3 x A320 CEO (MoU)
easyJet - 35 x A320 CEO; 100 x A320 NEO (MoU)
Totals by model:
A320 CEO - 30 Firm, 38 MoU
A320 NEO - 120 Firm, 103 MoU
A380 - 20 MoU
Lastly, there should be at least 2 787s delivered this week: ZA241 (LN 72, VT-ANM) for Air India and ZA273 (LN 87, SP-LRD) for Polish LOT should be delivered this week. I think it's possible for a couple more deliveries this week but I expect a quite a few deliveries next week to finish up June.
Labels:
787,
787-10,
787-8,
787-9,
Air India,
Air Lease Corp,
British Airways,
GECAS,
IAG,
LOT,
Paris Air Show 2013,
Singapore Airlines,
United Airlines,
ZA241,
ZA273
Monday, June 17, 2013
Paris Air Show 2013 - Day 1 Airbus & Boeing Order Summary
The 1st day of the Paris Air Show has wrapped up and there were a few surprise orders, most notably from GECAS for the 787-10. The leasing unit of General Electric has not placed an order for the 787 since the program was launched in 2004 despite the parent company manufacturing engines for the aircraft.
GECAS took up 10 787-10 which are to be finalized once Boeing launches the aircraft which is anticipated to be tomorrow. Unsurprisingly, these aircraft will be powered by the GE GEnx-1Bs.
The other surprising order was from Doric Leasing for 20 A380s.
Lastly,
I do expect that Boeing, with the launch of the 787-10, will hit the 1000 787 order mark quite soon. It will depend on how long it will take to finalize the MoUs and some may already finalized and just needs Boeing's formal launch to finalize the contract. Boeing has firm orders for 890 787s and just need another 110 more which I believe they can easily reach with the launch of the -10.
Here's a run down of today's order activity:
Boeing
GECAS - 10 x 787-10 (MoU)
Skymark Airlines - unknown number of 737 MAX (MoU)
Qatar Airways - 2 x 777-300ER (7 options) (Firm Order)
Airbus
Doric Leasing - 20 x A380-800 (MoU)
ILFC - 50 x A320 NEO (Firm)
Lufthansa - 100 x A320 NEO (Firm)
GECAS took up 10 787-10 which are to be finalized once Boeing launches the aircraft which is anticipated to be tomorrow. Unsurprisingly, these aircraft will be powered by the GE GEnx-1Bs.
The other surprising order was from Doric Leasing for 20 A380s.
Lastly,
I do expect that Boeing, with the launch of the 787-10, will hit the 1000 787 order mark quite soon. It will depend on how long it will take to finalize the MoUs and some may already finalized and just needs Boeing's formal launch to finalize the contract. Boeing has firm orders for 890 787s and just need another 110 more which I believe they can easily reach with the launch of the -10.
Here's a run down of today's order activity:
Boeing
GECAS - 10 x 787-10 (MoU)
Skymark Airlines - unknown number of 737 MAX (MoU)
Qatar Airways - 2 x 777-300ER (7 options) (Firm Order)
Airbus
Doric Leasing - 20 x A380-800 (MoU)
ILFC - 50 x A320 NEO (Firm)
Lufthansa - 100 x A320 NEO (Firm)
Labels:
787-10,
A380,
Airbus,
Boeing,
Doric,
GECAS,
GEnx-1B,
ILFC,
Lufthansa,
Paris Air Show 2013,
Qatar Airways,
Skymark Airlines
Thursday, June 13, 2013
Breaking: Jon Ostrower and WSJ reporting 787-10 launch
UPDATE: The WSJ says the formal launch will be at Paris and Boeing will announce launch customers from the US (United, Air Lease Corp), Europe (British Airways), and Asia (Singapore Airlines). No word on numbers or if these will be firm orders.
Labels:
787,
787-10,
A350-900,
Air Lease Corp,
Airbus,
British Airways,
IAG,
Singapore Airlines,
United
Tuesday, June 11, 2013
787 Odds and Ends
As we get closer to the Paris Airshow due to start next Monday, here is a rundown on some news as of late. Nothing earth shattering or unexpected.
Paris 2013
This show should shape up to be the battle of the widebodies with the A350 vs. the 787 and 777X. There will be some notable orders but I think this is where Boeing will announce the formal launch of the 787-10 with Singapore Airline's order for 30 aircraft. The carrier already has selected the engine for their 30 -10s (Trent 1000-TEN), something they wouldn't be doing if launch wasn't imminent. I also believe that the launch will not only include announcement of the Singapore order but will also announce the order from IAG (British Airways) for 18 -10s. This is the exercise of the 18 options the carrier held but the 787 model wasn't announced when IAG announced the exercise of the options. I think that announcement will be made at Paris. There may be other 787-10 order announcement made at Paris. I don't think Boeing will announce the launch of the 777X at Paris but will heavily talk it up behind the scenes with customers. Look for the launch announcement on Tuesday, June 18th.
Meanwhile ZA242 (LN 90, VT-ANN) is currently flying to Le Bourget where it will fly demonstrations during the first 3 or 4 days of the show. ZA465 (LN 99, A7-BCD) will join ZA242 later (probably on Saturday or Sunday) but will be on static display through out the airshow.
787 Production
Production has been continuing and I do believe that ZB001 has moved on to the next line position in 40-24 and should remain there for the next 10-12 days while assembly and testing continue on this aircraft. I continue to believe that this aircraft should be out on the flightline in the 3rd or 4th week of July and possibly flying by early to mid September.
787 Flight Testing and Delivery
Production flight testing continues as Boeing is trying to be aggressive in delivering the large backlog of 787s that are sitting on the Everett and Charleston tarmacs. Interestingly Boeing delivered 7 787s last month but none from Charleston. I do expect that 3 to 4 787s should be delivered from Charleston this month. Currently I have 5 787s listed as ready for delivery along with another 10 that have started production flight tests. I expect at least 2 to 3 787s will have their B-1 flights in the next week in order to be delivered by the end of this month.
Finally a blog note. I've added a 5th table below which shows the 78s that are currently in production (see 787 Current Production). I does not show 787s that have been delivered or ones that will not be delivered (like the first 3 test flight aircraft). Hopefully this will aid in understanding what is going on at Everett and Charleston.
Paris 2013
This show should shape up to be the battle of the widebodies with the A350 vs. the 787 and 777X. There will be some notable orders but I think this is where Boeing will announce the formal launch of the 787-10 with Singapore Airline's order for 30 aircraft. The carrier already has selected the engine for their 30 -10s (Trent 1000-TEN), something they wouldn't be doing if launch wasn't imminent. I also believe that the launch will not only include announcement of the Singapore order but will also announce the order from IAG (British Airways) for 18 -10s. This is the exercise of the 18 options the carrier held but the 787 model wasn't announced when IAG announced the exercise of the options. I think that announcement will be made at Paris. There may be other 787-10 order announcement made at Paris. I don't think Boeing will announce the launch of the 777X at Paris but will heavily talk it up behind the scenes with customers. Look for the launch announcement on Tuesday, June 18th.
Meanwhile ZA242 (LN 90, VT-ANN) is currently flying to Le Bourget where it will fly demonstrations during the first 3 or 4 days of the show. ZA465 (LN 99, A7-BCD) will join ZA242 later (probably on Saturday or Sunday) but will be on static display through out the airshow.
787 Production
Production has been continuing and I do believe that ZB001 has moved on to the next line position in 40-24 and should remain there for the next 10-12 days while assembly and testing continue on this aircraft. I continue to believe that this aircraft should be out on the flightline in the 3rd or 4th week of July and possibly flying by early to mid September.
787 Flight Testing and Delivery
Production flight testing continues as Boeing is trying to be aggressive in delivering the large backlog of 787s that are sitting on the Everett and Charleston tarmacs. Interestingly Boeing delivered 7 787s last month but none from Charleston. I do expect that 3 to 4 787s should be delivered from Charleston this month. Currently I have 5 787s listed as ready for delivery along with another 10 that have started production flight tests. I expect at least 2 to 3 787s will have their B-1 flights in the next week in order to be delivered by the end of this month.
Finally a blog note. I've added a 5th table below which shows the 78s that are currently in production (see 787 Current Production). I does not show 787s that have been delivered or ones that will not be delivered (like the first 3 test flight aircraft). Hopefully this will aid in understanding what is going on at Everett and Charleston.
Labels:
40-24,
777X,
787,
787 Deliveries,
787-10,
787-10X,
787-9,
A350,
Boeing,
British Airways,
IAG,
Singapore Airlines,
Trent 1000-TEN,
ZA242,
ZA465,
ZB001
Sunday, June 2, 2013
Boeing confirms start of 787-9 final assembly
787-9 in position 1 in 40-24. Boeing Photo
Boeing confirmed today that they had started final assembly of the first 787-9 on May 30th as this blog revealed on May 14th. Boeing also confirmed that the two other test frames will be assembled in the 40-24 building which is the Temporary Surge Line where ZB001 (LN 126, N789EX) is currently being built. This airframe should make the move to position 2 around June 9th if the main assembly that is sequenced in position 1 as well as any tests are satisfactorily completed by then.
I still believe that this plane should roll out of final assembly around the 3rd to 4th week of July. It'll be great to see this aircraft next to the 787-8 to get a true appreciation of its size.
Below is Boeing's press release:
First Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner Begins Final Assembly
First Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner Begins Final Assembly
Newest 787 complements, extends the super-efficient family
EVERETT, Wash., June 2, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- Boeing [NYSE: BA] has begun final assembly of the first 787-9 Dreamliner. The newest member of the 787 family began taking shape on schedule May 30 in Everett, Wash., when Boeing started joining large sections of the super-efficient jet.
"From the start, the entire 787-9 team has focused relentlessly on execution so that we fulfill the commitments to our customers," said Mark Jenks, vice president, 787 Airplane Development, Boeing Commercial Airplanes. "Integrating the 787-9 into our production system on time is another clear sign that we are well prepared and well positioned for the work ahead."
Boeing's global partners delivered the first 787-9 sections to final assembly on or ahead of schedule, and strong progress continues beyond, with major assembly under way on the other flight-test airplanes. "The dedication, quality and skill of our partners are helping drive our disciplined performance," said Jenks.
Boeing will build the first three 787-9s on its Temporary Surge Line in Everett to allow for smoother integration of the 787-9 into the production system while continuing to ramp up production across the 787 program.
The 787-9 will complement and extend the 787 family, offering airlines the ability to grow routes opened with the 787-8. With the fuselage stretched by 20 feet (6 meters), the 787-9 will carry 40 more passengers an additional 300 nautical miles (555 kilometers) while using 20 percent less fuel than similarly sized airplanes. The 787-9 leverages the visionary design of the 787-8, offering the features passengers prefer such as large, dimmable windows, large stow bins, modern LED lighting, higher humidity, a lower cabin altitude, cleaner air and a smoother ride.
The vertical stabilizer on this 787-9 reflects the new Boeing Commercial Airplanes livery, a refreshed look for the Boeing family of airplanes that started with the 747-8 and evolved with the 737 MAX. Many features of the livery on the original 787 are reflected in the new design. The prominent number designator on the tail helps distinguish various models within the same product family.
First flight of the 787-9 is scheduled for the second half of 2013, with first delivery to launch customer Air New Zealand set for early 2014. 20 customers around the world have ordered 355 787-9s, accounting for 40 percent of all 787 orders.
Saturday, June 1, 2013
787 program ends May on a high note
During the month of May 2013, Boeing had solidly left the lithium ion battery issues behind as the 50 787s delivered prior to the grounding received the new batteries and containment system and returned to revenue service. May also so Boeing deliver 7 Dreamliners to 5 customers including 2 customers who received their first 787s (TUI - Thomson Airways and China Southern Airlines).
787 deliveries went to:
ANA (2)
China Southern Airlines (1)
Japan Airlines (1)
LOT Polish Airlines (1)
TUI Travel (2)
787 deliveries went to:
ANA (2)
China Southern Airlines (1)
Japan Airlines (1)
LOT Polish Airlines (1)
TUI Travel (2)
LOT's 3rd 787 on final into New York's JFK while over Long Island, June 1, 2013
The 7 deliveries was a solid performance for Boeing who kept the production going despite the uncertainty of when the aircraft would be allowed to return to service. During this time Boeing also continued with ground tests of the 787 in preparation for production flight testing and delivery. The deliveries capped off a feverish race to return the 50 787s already delivered to revenue service which Boeing had completed early last week. The last two carriers, Japan Airlines and LOT Polish returned to revenue service today with LOT inaugurating it Warsaw-JFK service on the 787 (see picture above of the first 787 to land at JFK).
In addition to the return to service and the delivery accomplishments during May, Boeing also started final assembly on the first 787-9 on May 30th. This is yet as unconfirmed by Boeing but sources have told me that this is the planned load date into position 1 for this aircraft. It is being assembled in building 40-24.
I am expecting deliveries for June to be higher than May with at least 14 if not more 787s being delivered to customers. Here's my prediction for June:
Aeromexico (ILFC)* - 1
Air India - 1
ANA - 2
British Airways* - 2
China Southern - 1
Hainan Airlines* - 2
LOT Polish - 1
Japan Airlines - 1
Norwegian (ILFC)* - 1
Qatar Airways - 1
Thomson Airways - 1
Many of the airplanes that would be slated for delivery in June already have had their B-1 flight or more. 4 customers will be receiving their first 787s this month as well.
Labels:
40-24,
787,
787 Deliveries,
787-9,
Aeromexico,
Air India,
ANA,
Boeing,
British Airways,
China Southern,
Hainan Airlines,
ILFC,
JAL,
lithium ion,
LOT,
Norwegian Air Shuttle,
Qatar Airways,
Thomson Airways,
ZA272
My First 787 sighting!
In the 5+ years that I've been writing this blog, I have never seen a 787 up close until today. Living and working in NY doesn't afford me many opportunities to see one and I had to be content with pictures that others have taken until today. So I got my cherry popped so to speak!
LOT 006 from Warsaw to JFK flew directly over my house here in Long Island (I'm fortunate/unfortunate to live right under one of the main approaches to JFK) and using flightradar24.com I was able to time my picture perfectly even though I didn't have the use a digital SLR, I was able to see my first 787 in real life and somewhat up close as LOT 6 (ZA272, LN 86, SP-LRC) flew final into JFK as LOT re-started 787 flights for the first time since the grounding. Above is my picture as it flew directly over my house just a few minutes ago.
Thursday, May 30, 2013
Singapore Airlines agrees to 787-10 commitment, formal Boeing launch right around the corner
Singapore Airlines is the first airline to publicly announce that they have an agreement with Boeing to buy the next variant of the 787, the 787-10. Singapore Airlines has said that they intend to purchase 30 787-10s contingent on formal launch of the airplane by Boeing. SIA expects deliveries of the -10 to start in 2018-2019. They already have orders for 20 787-9 that will go to their low cost subsidiary Scoot.
I expect Boeing to formally launch the variant at the Paris Air Show next month and I also expect that the launch announcement will include launch orders from at least 2 if not more customers. One of these customers would most likely be IAG (British Airways) who exercised 18 787 options. Even though IAG didn't announce the version they will buy, it is widely expected to be the 787-10.
Labels:
787,
787-10,
787-9,
British Airways,
IAG,
Scoot,
Singapore Airlines
Friday, May 24, 2013
Fuselage sections starting to arrive into Everett for 1st 787-9
Boeing is starting to receive the fuselage sections for ZB001, the first 787-9 to be built. Boeing received the first section 41 (forward fuselage) from Spirit AeroSystems from their Wichita plant. This section is not too different from the forward fuselage for the 787-8 thus integrating it into the production system shouldn't present any challenges. Boeing may have received another fuselage section (either the rear or center section) very early this morning a 747-400 Dreamlifter did arrive into Everett from Charleston where these sections are built up. All the fuselage sections should be in Everett in the next few days if they're not all there already.
Boeing will load the first 787-9 into position 1 in 40-24 on May 30. Sources revealed to me that this aircraft should transfer to position 2 around June 9...10 days after first being loaded into position 1 which is quite surprising since it takes about 11 to 12 days for each production 787-8 to progress down each line position. Extrapolated this could mean that ZB001 would be assembled in about 40 days if there are no complications during the final assembly process. I do expect it to be a little longer though due to systems integration testing during final assembly which would add about another week at most. Thus ZB001 could take about 7 weeks in final assembly before it is rolled out to the paint hangar and eventually the flightline to begin gauntlet testing. ZB001 could be out of 40-24 by the third to fourth week of July, another week for painting and out on the flightline in early August.
In somewhat related news on the production front, it does appear that Boeing will temporarily be slowing down 787-8 production as there looks to be some sort of construction going on within 40-26. I surmise that Boeing will be getting rid of or modifying some of the original production tooling in position 1. This would include the "MOATT" or "Mother Of All Tool Towers" which was envisioned as a device to quickly and efficiently join the fuselage sections along with the wings and horizontal and vertical stabilizers. Unfortunately the promise of MOATT didn't live up to the reality and Boeing is now using some more traditional tools like overhead cranes to move around some of the larger structures like the wings. These changes will ultimately help Boeing to get to 10/month but in the short term it will slow down production for a couple of weeks. Because of this ZA562 (LN 127) for ILFC/Aeromexico won't be loaded until after June 9th, perhaps the 10th. This shouldn't impact deliveries too much as Boeing is still trying to catch up on delayed deliveries due to the lithium ion battery issue which grounded the 787 and stopped deliveries.
Boeing will load the first 787-9 into position 1 in 40-24 on May 30. Sources revealed to me that this aircraft should transfer to position 2 around June 9...10 days after first being loaded into position 1 which is quite surprising since it takes about 11 to 12 days for each production 787-8 to progress down each line position. Extrapolated this could mean that ZB001 would be assembled in about 40 days if there are no complications during the final assembly process. I do expect it to be a little longer though due to systems integration testing during final assembly which would add about another week at most. Thus ZB001 could take about 7 weeks in final assembly before it is rolled out to the paint hangar and eventually the flightline to begin gauntlet testing. ZB001 could be out of 40-24 by the third to fourth week of July, another week for painting and out on the flightline in early August.
In somewhat related news on the production front, it does appear that Boeing will temporarily be slowing down 787-8 production as there looks to be some sort of construction going on within 40-26. I surmise that Boeing will be getting rid of or modifying some of the original production tooling in position 1. This would include the "MOATT" or "Mother Of All Tool Towers" which was envisioned as a device to quickly and efficiently join the fuselage sections along with the wings and horizontal and vertical stabilizers. Unfortunately the promise of MOATT didn't live up to the reality and Boeing is now using some more traditional tools like overhead cranes to move around some of the larger structures like the wings. These changes will ultimately help Boeing to get to 10/month but in the short term it will slow down production for a couple of weeks. Because of this ZA562 (LN 127) for ILFC/Aeromexico won't be loaded until after June 9th, perhaps the 10th. This shouldn't impact deliveries too much as Boeing is still trying to catch up on delayed deliveries due to the lithium ion battery issue which grounded the 787 and stopped deliveries.
Labels:
40-24,
40-26,
787,
787 Deliveries,
787-8,
787-9,
Aeromexico,
Boeing Charleston,
ILFC,
lithium ion,
MOATT,
section 41,
ZA562,
ZB001
Wednesday, May 22, 2013
China to issue 787 airworthiness certificate early next week
UPDATE: CAAC, the Chinese aviation regulator has approved the 787 for use by the country's airlines today (5/23/13). China Southern shortly followed by Hainan should be taking delivery next week. Pilots from both carriers should be conducting customer test flights within the next few days, perhaps as early as today.
Thanks to our blog readers CX880 and Weijie Deng, a firmer picture now has emerged regarding the start of 787 deliveries to Chinese carriers. A team from China Southern Airlines is in Seattle to conduct customer flight(s) and to complete paperwork needed for delivery and payments. China's aviation regulators are expected to give its approval for its carriers to operate the 787 on May 27th and China Southern is expected to formally take delivery on May 28th. I expect China Southern to take delivery of 8 787s this year. The first one to be delivered will be ZA380 (LN 34, B-2725).
Hainan can also take delivery of up to 2 787s this month from Boeing's Charleston facility. Both ZA431 (LN 76, B-2722) and ZA433 (LN 81, B-2723) are painted and have completed Boeing test flights and await us timer inspection and test flights. It is unclear if Hainan will take both this month or one but it does appear at the least that the deliveries will be closely spaced to one another. I expect Hainan to take delivery of 6 787s this year.
Thanks to our blog readers CX880 and Weijie Deng, a firmer picture now has emerged regarding the start of 787 deliveries to Chinese carriers. A team from China Southern Airlines is in Seattle to conduct customer flight(s) and to complete paperwork needed for delivery and payments. China's aviation regulators are expected to give its approval for its carriers to operate the 787 on May 27th and China Southern is expected to formally take delivery on May 28th. I expect China Southern to take delivery of 8 787s this year. The first one to be delivered will be ZA380 (LN 34, B-2725).
Hainan can also take delivery of up to 2 787s this month from Boeing's Charleston facility. Both ZA431 (LN 76, B-2722) and ZA433 (LN 81, B-2723) are painted and have completed Boeing test flights and await us timer inspection and test flights. It is unclear if Hainan will take both this month or one but it does appear at the least that the deliveries will be closely spaced to one another. I expect Hainan to take delivery of 6 787s this year.
Labels:
787,
787 Deliveries,
Boeing,
Boeing Charleston,
CAAC,
China Southern,
Hainan Airlines,
ZA380,
ZA431,
ZA433
Sunday, May 19, 2013
Revised 787 Delivery Projection for 2013
Back In January of this year and prior to the 787 grounding, I had published my 787 delivery expectations for 2013. While the Boeing continued to execute the production plan despite the grounding and even hit the 7/month production rate far earlier than I had projected, I was expecting that this rate break would occur in early July, it occurred in April when Boeing loaded ZA452 (LN 114, G-ZBJC), Boeing will still have the after effects of the delays to deliveries because of the grounding. Boeing has a finite number of resources to devote to production flight and ground testing though I have no doubt that they will try to draw on the maximum number of test flight personnel to mitigate the effects of the grounding and get the deliveries back on schedule by the end of the year.
Boeing has said that they will deliver more than 60 787s this year. Thus far they have delivered 3; one each to Air India, ANA, and LOT Polish and I believe that when 2013 is complete, Boeing would have delivered a total of 75 787s or which 10 would be pre-L/N 66 aircraft that had gone through the modification process at the EMC in Everett. 20 of these 75 aircraft would come from the final assembly line in Charleston, SC and the remainder from the Everett line. This number does not include the 3 787-9s expected to be built in Everett and flying as part of the -9 flight testing and certification process.
One thing to note that this number includes 4 787s to be delivered to United Airlines. UAL, its most latest 10Q filing with the SEC on April 25th, said they expect to receive 2 787s this year but I do not believe that this takes into account to increase in 787 production rate that occurred in April. Their 10Q in July 2013 should shed a little bit more light on their delivery expectations. Another measure to look at is the actual delivery date of the first 787 to Royal Brunei Airlines. Before the grounding this airlines was expecting its first 787 around September 1, 2013. If Boeing is able to deliver around this date then we know that they are back on schedule though there are some 51 787s ahead of it at this point.
Below is my table of the customers and how many 787s I expect them to receive from today on out to Dec. 31st.
Boeing has said that they will deliver more than 60 787s this year. Thus far they have delivered 3; one each to Air India, ANA, and LOT Polish and I believe that when 2013 is complete, Boeing would have delivered a total of 75 787s or which 10 would be pre-L/N 66 aircraft that had gone through the modification process at the EMC in Everett. 20 of these 75 aircraft would come from the final assembly line in Charleston, SC and the remainder from the Everett line. This number does not include the 3 787-9s expected to be built in Everett and flying as part of the -9 flight testing and certification process.
One thing to note that this number includes 4 787s to be delivered to United Airlines. UAL, its most latest 10Q filing with the SEC on April 25th, said they expect to receive 2 787s this year but I do not believe that this takes into account to increase in 787 production rate that occurred in April. Their 10Q in July 2013 should shed a little bit more light on their delivery expectations. Another measure to look at is the actual delivery date of the first 787 to Royal Brunei Airlines. Before the grounding this airlines was expecting its first 787 around September 1, 2013. If Boeing is able to deliver around this date then we know that they are back on schedule though there are some 51 787s ahead of it at this point.
Below is my table of the customers and how many 787s I expect them to receive from today on out to Dec. 31st.
Labels:
787,
787 Deliveries,
787-9,
Air India,
ANA,
Boeing Charleston,
British Airways,
EMC,
Everett,
LOT,
Royal Brunei Airlines,
United Airlines,
ZA452
Friday, May 17, 2013
May 787 Delivery Predictions
Here is a list of 787s that I expect to be delivered during the remainder of this month. Please note that the deliveries to the Chinese carriers are contingent upon the aircraft obtaining its airworthiness certificate from Chinese civil aviation authorities but booth China Southern and Hainan have said they expect their deliveries later this month.
Air India - ZA241 (LN 72, VT-ANM) - so far had 5 test flights and may have one more before being delivered
Hainan - 2 787 from Charleston - ZA431 (LN 76, B-2722) & ZA433 (LN 81, B-2723) pending certification and customer test flights
China Southern - ZA380 (LN 34, B-2725) pending certification and customer test flights
JAL - ZA184 (LN 89, JA830A) had three test flights thus far, may have one more to do
Thomson Airways - ZA317 (LN 92, G-TUIA) - Thomson's first 787 has had 5 test flights thus far.
These six together with the two already delivered would allow Boeing to claim 8 deliveries in May which would be a very healthy re-start to deliveries after three and a half months of growing inventory at Everett and Charleston.
Air India - ZA241 (LN 72, VT-ANM) - so far had 5 test flights and may have one more before being delivered
Hainan - 2 787 from Charleston - ZA431 (LN 76, B-2722) & ZA433 (LN 81, B-2723) pending certification and customer test flights
China Southern - ZA380 (LN 34, B-2725) pending certification and customer test flights
JAL - ZA184 (LN 89, JA830A) had three test flights thus far, may have one more to do
Thomson Airways - ZA317 (LN 92, G-TUIA) - Thomson's first 787 has had 5 test flights thus far.
These six together with the two already delivered would allow Boeing to claim 8 deliveries in May which would be a very healthy re-start to deliveries after three and a half months of growing inventory at Everett and Charleston.
Labels:
787,
787 Deliveries,
Air India,
Boeing Charleston,
China Southern,
Everett,
Hainan Airlines,
JAL,
Thomson Airways,
ZA184,
ZA241,
ZA317,
ZA380,
ZA431,
ZA433
Tuesday, May 14, 2013
Boeing to start 787-9 final assembly on May 30
Source revealed that Boeing will load ZB001 (LN 126, N789EX) on May 30th. This should lead to the rollout of the aircraft approximately 2 months later in late August. First flight is anticipated later this fall though timing is still uncertain.
Boeing has taken delivery of ZB001's horizontal and vertical tail plane as well as the wings. In the coming two weeks we should see the delivery of the fuselage sections into Everett.
Boeing is shifting production of 787-8s to the main 40-26 and 88-03 assembly lines in Everett in case issues with the assembly of the first 787-9 encounters problems in 40-24. Already Charleston is taking on more 787-8 but the bulk of the 787-8 production will go to the main final assembly in Everett.
The other two 787-9 test airplanes will follow ZB001 in the 40-24 surge line.
Meanwhile Boeing has resumed deliveries of the 787-8. ZA513 (LN83, JA818A) was delivered to ANA marking the airlines 18th 787 and Boeing's 51st 787 delivered.
LOT Polish Airlines was to have taken its 3rd 787 (ZA272, LN 86, SP-LRC) today but that is being delayed due to some minor issues with the aircraft. Delivery is now expected to take place around Thursday.
Sunday, May 12, 2013
Upcoming 787 deliveries
Now that the battery modifications are underway Boeing is gearing up to re-start deliveries to customers.
First up will be deliveries to ANA and LOT Polish Airlines. ANA (ZA512, LN 83, JA818A) should deliver tomorrow 5/13/2013 (flyaway the next day) while LOT Polish (ZA272, LN 86, SP-LRC) should deliver the following day on 5/14/2013 (flyaway the next day).
Thomson Airways is expecting their first 787 (ZA317, LN 92, G-TUIA) on 5/30/2013 with the second (ZA318, LN 94, G-TUIB) to follow on 6/2/2013.
JAL can also take delivery this week of ZA184 (LN 89, JA830J) though I haven't heard about a delivery date.
Hainan and China Southern could take their first 787s as early as the end of this month but that could easily slip into June since the delivery is waiting on Chinese aviation authorities certifying the 787 for use by Chinese carriers.
British Airways is looking to take delivery within the next few weeks but it does look like that they'll pick up their first 787s next month.
First up will be deliveries to ANA and LOT Polish Airlines. ANA (ZA512, LN 83, JA818A) should deliver tomorrow 5/13/2013 (flyaway the next day) while LOT Polish (ZA272, LN 86, SP-LRC) should deliver the following day on 5/14/2013 (flyaway the next day).
Thomson Airways is expecting their first 787 (ZA317, LN 92, G-TUIA) on 5/30/2013 with the second (ZA318, LN 94, G-TUIB) to follow on 6/2/2013.
JAL can also take delivery this week of ZA184 (LN 89, JA830J) though I haven't heard about a delivery date.
Hainan and China Southern could take their first 787s as early as the end of this month but that could easily slip into June since the delivery is waiting on Chinese aviation authorities certifying the 787 for use by Chinese carriers.
British Airways is looking to take delivery within the next few weeks but it does look like that they'll pick up their first 787s next month.
Labels:
787,
787 Deliveries,
ANA,
Boeing,
British Airways,
China Southern,
Hainan Airlines,
JAL,
LOT,
Thomson Airways,
ZA184,
ZA272,
ZA317,
ZA318,
ZA512
Saturday, May 11, 2013
Air India 787 to perform at Paris Air Show
This is plain speculation on my part but Boeing may be prepping ZA242 (LN 90, VT-ANN) for Air India to put on a flying display at this years Paris Air Show in mid June. The aircraft flew to Boeing Field last week then flew a flight on Friday at BOE787. I believe that this flight was practice flight for an aerial demonstration at the show. Given the flight number it flew under is normally reserved for special marketing flights or for air show flights, I feel that this is strong evidence that this aircraft will by at the Paris Air Show. If so this aircraft probably won't be delivered to Air India until mid to late June.
Labels:
787,
787 Deliveries,
Air India,
BOE787,
Paris Air Show 2013,
ZA242
Friday, May 3, 2013
Transaero Airlines to get early build 787s
I got word that Boeing has officially allocated 3 very early build 787s to Transaero Airlines. The three frames are ZA800 (LN 11), ZA801 (LN 12), and ZA803 (LN 14). All three were previously going to be delivered to ANA but has since asked for later built 787s. Boeing still has about 7 more that need to be re-allocated to other airlines. These are among the group of 787s that are known as the "terrible teens." It has been rumored that Transaero would pick up these aircraft from Boeing on the cheap when they closed on the order of 4 787s early last year. It's also rumored that Lion Air will be picking up their 5 aircraft from this block as well but that change has yet to be reflected in the system.
Production flight testing has picked up today with ZA318 (LN 94, G-TUIB) for Thomson making its first flight today. ZA512 (LN 83, JA818A) made it 12th flight and this aircraft should be delivered to ANA late next week though it still has to go through customer acceptance flight(s). Two Charleston built 787s for Hainan swapped places today as ZA431 (LN 76, B-2722) flew back to Charleston and ZA433 (LN 81, B-2723) flew to Ft. Worth for painting from Charleston.
Production flight testing has picked up today with ZA318 (LN 94, G-TUIB) for Thomson making its first flight today. ZA512 (LN 83, JA818A) made it 12th flight and this aircraft should be delivered to ANA late next week though it still has to go through customer acceptance flight(s). Two Charleston built 787s for Hainan swapped places today as ZA431 (LN 76, B-2722) flew back to Charleston and ZA433 (LN 81, B-2723) flew to Ft. Worth for painting from Charleston.
Labels:
787,
787 Deliveries,
ANA,
Hainan Airlines,
Transaero Airlines,
ZA318,
ZA431,
ZA433,
ZA512,
ZA800,
ZA801,
ZA803
Wednesday, May 1, 2013
Boeing BoD aproves ATO for 777X
Boeing Board of Director gave BCA the ok to enter into discussion with customers on the pricing, delivery, and technical aspects of the 777X a third generation of the large Boeing twin. With this ATO, Boeing now has 2 large twins with the Authority to Offer to customer airlines but Boeing still needs to formally launch the aircraft once they have acceptable deals in place for each.
One question that still remains is where to build the 777X and especially the wings which Boeing plans to construct from composites (CFRP). More than likely I expect that both the aircraft and the wing would be built in Everett due to the expense of establishing a new final assembly site along the difficulty of transporting a large wing from site to site.
I do think that it is not unreasonable to think that both the 787-10 and the 777X can be formally launched at the Paris Air Show though it can also happen at the Dubai Air Show in November.
One question that still remains is where to build the 777X and especially the wings which Boeing plans to construct from composites (CFRP). More than likely I expect that both the aircraft and the wing would be built in Everett due to the expense of establishing a new final assembly site along the difficulty of transporting a large wing from site to site.
I do think that it is not unreasonable to think that both the 787-10 and the 777X can be formally launched at the Paris Air Show though it can also happen at the Dubai Air Show in November.
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