With less than 2 weeks remaining in the month, Boeing has delivered only 3 787s to customers including the 1st to Air Canada. The total seems anemic but Boeing has been known to finish the month strong by delivering 78s in the last 7 to 10 days of the month. I don't think this month will be an exception but the company won't be able to deliver 12 aircraft that I predicted earlier. I do see them delivering 10 in May including the ones that have already been delivered.
Here's my revised delivery projections:
Air India - 2 (ZA232, ZA244)
ANA - 1 (ZA136)
British Airways - 1 (ZA455)
Ethiopian Airlines - 1 (ZA265)
Hainan Airlines - 1 (ZA437)
ILFC/Norwegian - 1 (ZA579)
This number is still 1 short (actually .5 airplanes short) of what Boeing needs to deliver for the remainder of the year if they need to meet their goal of 110 787 deliveries.
While there has been a number of B-1 flights earlier this month, Boeing still has to increase the tempo in order to prepare for June deliveries.
To date Boeing has delivered 143 total 787s, 29 in 2014 and 3 thus far in May.
Lastly, ZA436 (LN 151, B-2738) flew back to Everett today from Boeing Field. It seems that he flight testing it was conducting to certify software changes on a production standard aircraft is complete. The aircraft will probably be cleaned up and prepared for customer test flights be fore being delivered to Hainan.
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Showing posts with label ZA244. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ZA244. Show all posts
Monday, May 19, 2014
Friday, December 20, 2013
Boeing makes final 2013 787 delivery push
Boeing has started making its final push to deliver as many commercial jets as possible before the and of the year. As far as the 787, Boeing has thus far delivered 6 aircraft in December, 16 for the 4th quarter, 60 for 2013 and 109 overall since deliveries began over 2 years ago. This includes ZA187 (LN 125, JA833J) for Japan Airlines which is contractually delivered but has not made its delivery flight for unknown reasons. It is expected to flyaway to Tokyo in the next few days.
There are still a number of 787s that are ready of delivery including a trio for China Southern Airlines. It's been a while since these airplanes have taken a flight but I believe the reason is so Boeing and China Southern can have a bit of a splash and conduct a triple delivery on one day prior to year end. Boeing will also deliver one more to QANTAS (Jetstar) which has had 4 flights (maybe one or two more needed) and will deliver the first 787 to be configured as a business jet to the UAE (via ILFC).
It stands to reason that Boeing can deliver 65 787s this year. Their guidance is over 60, thus they'll clearly meet their guidance.
As far as production is concerned, it looks as if Boeing is right now producing at about 9 aircraft/month. There was a hiccup due to a mishap (don't have details) on the main fuselage section for ZA388 (LN 154) for China Southern. that aircraft was loaded today but it did set back the production schedule, according to my calculations, by 18 days. ZA244 (LN 158) for Air India, leap-frogged over ZA388 and started final assembly before ZA388. ZA388 was originally supposed to start final assembly around November 19th. ZA244 was loaded into POS 1 on December 7...an 18 day gap between planned and actual loading of the fuselage sections and an approximately 1 month gap between the loading of ZA244 and ZA472 (LN 150) for Qatar Airways. Boeing Charleston is loading one aircraft approximately every 14 to 15 days or about 2/month. For the record, Jack Jones, VP and general manager of Boeing Charleston says that they are tracking to plan in terms of 787 production. Boeing is loading a 787 roughly every 4 days at Everett and that rate should get a little bit faster. Later on when Charleston is ready to go to 3/month, we should see the period between loadings go up slightly to about 1 airplane ever four and a quarter days.
One interesting thing to note is production quality of the 787 coming off the assembly lines. One way to measure this is to see how many test flights, on average, a Everett-built 787 makes before delivery and compare that to the number of test flights that a Charleston-built 787 makes. Taking out the 2 ferry flights that Boeing has to make to and from Ft. Worth for painting, I find that Charleston-built 787s fly an average of 6.25 flights before they are delivered while Everett-built 787s fly an average of 5.10 flights before delivery. Really just one flight more which in the grand scheme of things is not a whole lot.
A bit of programming note. I will post a 787 2013 year in review around the end of the month or early in January followed by a 2014 look ahead for the program.
Here are couple of links from Boeing's media day at Boeing Charleston:
Post and Courier photo gallery
Post and Courier Article
Charleston Business Journal Article
Full 787 List
Current 787 Production List
Delivered 787 List
787 Monthly Delivery Tracking
787 Customer Delivery
787-9 Flight Test Hours
Current 787 Operators
There are still a number of 787s that are ready of delivery including a trio for China Southern Airlines. It's been a while since these airplanes have taken a flight but I believe the reason is so Boeing and China Southern can have a bit of a splash and conduct a triple delivery on one day prior to year end. Boeing will also deliver one more to QANTAS (Jetstar) which has had 4 flights (maybe one or two more needed) and will deliver the first 787 to be configured as a business jet to the UAE (via ILFC).
It stands to reason that Boeing can deliver 65 787s this year. Their guidance is over 60, thus they'll clearly meet their guidance.
As far as production is concerned, it looks as if Boeing is right now producing at about 9 aircraft/month. There was a hiccup due to a mishap (don't have details) on the main fuselage section for ZA388 (LN 154) for China Southern. that aircraft was loaded today but it did set back the production schedule, according to my calculations, by 18 days. ZA244 (LN 158) for Air India, leap-frogged over ZA388 and started final assembly before ZA388. ZA388 was originally supposed to start final assembly around November 19th. ZA244 was loaded into POS 1 on December 7...an 18 day gap between planned and actual loading of the fuselage sections and an approximately 1 month gap between the loading of ZA244 and ZA472 (LN 150) for Qatar Airways. Boeing Charleston is loading one aircraft approximately every 14 to 15 days or about 2/month. For the record, Jack Jones, VP and general manager of Boeing Charleston says that they are tracking to plan in terms of 787 production. Boeing is loading a 787 roughly every 4 days at Everett and that rate should get a little bit faster. Later on when Charleston is ready to go to 3/month, we should see the period between loadings go up slightly to about 1 airplane ever four and a quarter days.
One interesting thing to note is production quality of the 787 coming off the assembly lines. One way to measure this is to see how many test flights, on average, a Everett-built 787 makes before delivery and compare that to the number of test flights that a Charleston-built 787 makes. Taking out the 2 ferry flights that Boeing has to make to and from Ft. Worth for painting, I find that Charleston-built 787s fly an average of 6.25 flights before they are delivered while Everett-built 787s fly an average of 5.10 flights before delivery. Really just one flight more which in the grand scheme of things is not a whole lot.
A bit of programming note. I will post a 787 2013 year in review around the end of the month or early in January followed by a 2014 look ahead for the program.
Here are couple of links from Boeing's media day at Boeing Charleston:
Post and Courier photo gallery
Post and Courier Article
Charleston Business Journal Article
Full 787 List
Current 787 Production List
Delivered 787 List
787 Monthly Delivery Tracking
787 Customer Delivery
787-9 Flight Test Hours
Current 787 Operators
Tuesday, December 10, 2013
Mishap with L/N 154 mid body fuselage section forces Boeing to re-shuffle final assembly order at Charleston
According to sources, a mishap while assembling the mid body fuselage for ZA388 (L/N 154) for China Southern Airlines forced Boeing to re-shuffle the firing order at Boeing Charleston. Details are unknown but the mishap, which took place in building 88-20, caused extensive damage to the mid body fuselage section. The damage was severe enough that Boeing had to pull manufacturing techs from the final assembly line to help with the re-work with many technicians putting in overtime to get this fuselage section completed. This airplane was scheduled to start final assembly during the 3rd week of November but it was pushed back to the first week of December. Boeing, however, was unable to complete the re-work in time and forced the re-shuffling of the final assembly order.
Currently, ZA 244 (L/N 158, VT-ANP) for Air India is loaded in position 1 in 88-30 while the re-work in 88-20 continues and is expected to be completed shortly.
After inspection and review of all the re-work on mid body for L/N 154, it should enter final assembly later this month.
Boeing integrates different fuselage sections built in Japan and Italy into one large main fuselage section in the 88-20 building.
This incident also has played havoc with Boeing's 787 final assembly schedule for Charleston as the final assembly of follow 787 in Charleston had to be pushed back. Subsequently, Boeing MTs in Charleston may have to put in overtime in order to make up the lost time and get the schedule back on track.
Lastly, Boeing did fly a 787 out of Charleston to be painted. While Boeing regularly does this, the difference was the aircraft was flown to Portland, OR where the company does have paint facilities and not to Ft. Worth. It was pointed out by a reader that this may be due to the severe winter weather being experienced in Texas. Boeing has a contract with Leading Edge Completions of Ft. Worth, Tx. to paint all Charleston built 787s. There still is one 787 (ZA469, L/N 129, A7-BCH) for Qatar Airways at Leading Edge which flew there three weeks ago. Either the weather has delayed its return or there was some issue with the paint job that Qatar objected to or there was technical issue with the aircraft itself.
Full 787 List
Current 787 Production List
Delivered 787 List
787 Monthly Delivery Tracking
787 Customer Delivery
787-9 Flight Test Hours
Current 787 Operators
Currently, ZA 244 (L/N 158, VT-ANP) for Air India is loaded in position 1 in 88-30 while the re-work in 88-20 continues and is expected to be completed shortly.
After inspection and review of all the re-work on mid body for L/N 154, it should enter final assembly later this month.
Boeing integrates different fuselage sections built in Japan and Italy into one large main fuselage section in the 88-20 building.
This incident also has played havoc with Boeing's 787 final assembly schedule for Charleston as the final assembly of follow 787 in Charleston had to be pushed back. Subsequently, Boeing MTs in Charleston may have to put in overtime in order to make up the lost time and get the schedule back on track.
Lastly, Boeing did fly a 787 out of Charleston to be painted. While Boeing regularly does this, the difference was the aircraft was flown to Portland, OR where the company does have paint facilities and not to Ft. Worth. It was pointed out by a reader that this may be due to the severe winter weather being experienced in Texas. Boeing has a contract with Leading Edge Completions of Ft. Worth, Tx. to paint all Charleston built 787s. There still is one 787 (ZA469, L/N 129, A7-BCH) for Qatar Airways at Leading Edge which flew there three weeks ago. Either the weather has delayed its return or there was some issue with the paint job that Qatar objected to or there was technical issue with the aircraft itself.
Full 787 List
Current 787 Production List
Delivered 787 List
787 Monthly Delivery Tracking
787 Customer Delivery
787-9 Flight Test Hours
Current 787 Operators
Wednesday, September 4, 2013
787 firing updated
The 787 firing order was updated to reflect 787 production up to and including L/N 180. The customers aren't all that surprising but it does include the first 787-9 for Air New Zealand (ZB003, L/N 169) as well as three more 787-8s for Ethiopian. Ethiopian is leaving open the possibility of increasing their 787-8 fleet after the final 787s are delivered in 2014.
Here's a rundown of L/N 162 to L/N 180:
ANA - 1
Air Canada - 2
Air India - 1
Air New Zealand - 1
British Airways - 2
China Southern - 1
Ethiopian - 3
Hainan - 1
ILFC/Aeromexico - 1
ILFC/Norwegian - 1
Jetstar (QANTAS) - 2
Norwegian - 1
Qatar Airways - 1
Royal Brunei - 1
With Boeing planning to increasing the assembly at aircraft 158 (ZA244, L/N 159, VT-ANP) by the end of the year. This firing order should show aircraft that start final assembly through the end of February, 2014.
Boeing continues to prepare ZB001 (LN 126, N789EX) for first flight. This should take place within the next 10 days. The static pressure cone has been attached according to Matt Cawby. Boeing has sent ZB002 (LN 133, N789FT) to get painted then will return to the assembly line where it will have more flight test equipment installed. ZB021 (LN 139, N789ZB) is well into final assembly. The first 2 aircraft will go to Air New Zealand after being refurbished though the final destination of the GE powered ZB021 is unknown. It is rumored that the Mexican Air Force will get this aircraft to transport that country's leader and other government officials.
Lastly, Boeing still has to resume production flight testing though some flights have occurred for Charleston built 787s. Stay tuned for this month's flight tests to start within a day or two.
Full 787 List
Current 787 Production List
Delivered 787 List
787 Monthly Delivery Tracking
787 Customer Delivery
Here's a rundown of L/N 162 to L/N 180:
ANA - 1
Air Canada - 2
Air India - 1
Air New Zealand - 1
British Airways - 2
China Southern - 1
Ethiopian - 3
Hainan - 1
ILFC/Aeromexico - 1
ILFC/Norwegian - 1
Jetstar (QANTAS) - 2
Norwegian - 1
Qatar Airways - 1
Royal Brunei - 1
With Boeing planning to increasing the assembly at aircraft 158 (ZA244, L/N 159, VT-ANP) by the end of the year. This firing order should show aircraft that start final assembly through the end of February, 2014.
Boeing continues to prepare ZB001 (LN 126, N789EX) for first flight. This should take place within the next 10 days. The static pressure cone has been attached according to Matt Cawby. Boeing has sent ZB002 (LN 133, N789FT) to get painted then will return to the assembly line where it will have more flight test equipment installed. ZB021 (LN 139, N789ZB) is well into final assembly. The first 2 aircraft will go to Air New Zealand after being refurbished though the final destination of the GE powered ZB021 is unknown. It is rumored that the Mexican Air Force will get this aircraft to transport that country's leader and other government officials.
Lastly, Boeing still has to resume production flight testing though some flights have occurred for Charleston built 787s. Stay tuned for this month's flight tests to start within a day or two.
Full 787 List
Current 787 Production List
Delivered 787 List
787 Monthly Delivery Tracking
787 Customer Delivery
Thursday, August 15, 2013
Breaking: Boeing plans 7 to 10 787 rate break at aircraft number 158
As summer is pushing into fall, the pressure for Boeing to make good on their promise to produce the 787 at 10/month is growing.
It is being revealed, exclusively on this blog, that Boeing plans to break rate to 10/month starting with L/N 158 (ZA244, VT-ANP) a 787 for Air India that will be built in Charleston. I expect this aircraft to be loaded sometime around November or December and should roll out around January with delivery around February or March (it's Air India after all). Currently the production rate is less than 7/month and flightlines at both Everett and Charleston are crowded. Until more deliveries are made, I don't see 787 production rates at Everett going above 5 to 6 per month.
In other news, ZB001 (LN 126, N789EX) and ZA445 (LN 128) switched positions with the later going to40-24 and the former in 40-26. It seems that the installation of the flight test equipment on ZB001 is complete and it could be getting its tanks washed out. This aircraft can be rolled to the flightline soon (only if a stall opens up). ZA445 for Royal Brunei is probably having the last of its interiors fitted and should be rolled out within the next few days as there is a schedule line move in 40-26 on August 19th when ZA650 (LN 136, EI-LNC) for Norwegian is loaded to start final assembly.
Thus far through mid August Boeing has delivered only 1 787 to Qatar Airways. There has been a number of customer flights on undelivered 787s at Everett but interestingly of the 7 Dreamliners at Charleston that have flown, none of the flights that have been undertaken are customers flights in preparation for delivery as of yet. 5 of the 7 are aircraft for Chinese and Indian carriers with another aircraft for China Southern still waiting to conduct its first flight. Aeromexico should take delivery by tomorrow but timing of further deliveries is uncertain.
Full 787 List
Current 787 Production List
Delivered 787 List
787 Monthly Delivery Tracking
787 Customer Delivery
It is being revealed, exclusively on this blog, that Boeing plans to break rate to 10/month starting with L/N 158 (ZA244, VT-ANP) a 787 for Air India that will be built in Charleston. I expect this aircraft to be loaded sometime around November or December and should roll out around January with delivery around February or March (it's Air India after all). Currently the production rate is less than 7/month and flightlines at both Everett and Charleston are crowded. Until more deliveries are made, I don't see 787 production rates at Everett going above 5 to 6 per month.
In other news, ZB001 (LN 126, N789EX) and ZA445 (LN 128) switched positions with the later going to40-24 and the former in 40-26. It seems that the installation of the flight test equipment on ZB001 is complete and it could be getting its tanks washed out. This aircraft can be rolled to the flightline soon (only if a stall opens up). ZA445 for Royal Brunei is probably having the last of its interiors fitted and should be rolled out within the next few days as there is a schedule line move in 40-26 on August 19th when ZA650 (LN 136, EI-LNC) for Norwegian is loaded to start final assembly.
Thus far through mid August Boeing has delivered only 1 787 to Qatar Airways. There has been a number of customer flights on undelivered 787s at Everett but interestingly of the 7 Dreamliners at Charleston that have flown, none of the flights that have been undertaken are customers flights in preparation for delivery as of yet. 5 of the 7 are aircraft for Chinese and Indian carriers with another aircraft for China Southern still waiting to conduct its first flight. Aeromexico should take delivery by tomorrow but timing of further deliveries is uncertain.
Full 787 List
Current 787 Production List
Delivered 787 List
787 Monthly Delivery Tracking
787 Customer Delivery
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