tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7553457216067299334.post8311177678734486414..comments2024-03-21T21:07:51.635-04:00Comments on All things 787: Can Boeing deliver 50 787s this year?Ureshhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10277326957559578045noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7553457216067299334.post-26242008494068585712012-09-25T02:02:05.530-04:002012-09-25T02:02:05.530-04:00Any idea on the mystery aircraft in Stall 103?
Eit...Any idea on the mystery aircraft in Stall 103?<br />Either UAL/77 never went into the paint hangar or LOT/78 is out of final assembly.<br />Cheers<br />AHK Expathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14831298043068278101noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7553457216067299334.post-60877136795944927522012-09-25T01:11:12.998-04:002012-09-25T01:11:12.998-04:00A few statistics to play devils advocate on your p...A few statistics to play devils advocate on your projections...<br /><br />ANA/69 - 32 days from first flight to delivery<br />ANA/66 - on day 27 now since first flight<br />JAL/27 - on day 22 now since first flight<br /><br />So if (a big IF) the trend continues (~30 days of test flights), unless new planes start flying in the next week, Oct deliveries could be a disappointment as only ETH/71, ETH/75 and AI/54 have flown so far...<br /><br />The stats aren't much better on the flightline (obvious consideration need to be taken to the damaged GE engine - assumed to be CSN/43 but could also be QAT/64)...<br /><br />CSN/43 - 41 days since out of paint hangar<br />QAT/64 - 39 days since out of paint hangar<br />LAN/74 - 28 days since out of paint hangar<br /><br />So current planes, are taking up to (and exceeding) 2 months from paint hangar to delivery.<br /><br />Adding all of that together (assuming no improvement in timeline):<br /><br />21 planes delivered + 11 out of paint hangar + 2 in paint hangar + 1 flying before painting = 35 planes that should be delivered by end of November.<br /><br />So to meet 50+, we need a) significant improvement in speed of execution and b) a hell of a december!<br /><br />Cheers<br />AHK Expathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14831298043068278101noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7553457216067299334.post-10441654882619297492012-09-24T16:55:49.792-04:002012-09-24T16:55:49.792-04:00Boeing should eclipse Airbus this year for both Or...Boeing should eclipse Airbus this year for both Orders lead and Deliveries (Revenue). They have delivered 14 A380 to Boeing's 27 747. <br />They are on track to deliver 600+ aircraft. The orders of 700 (+-)is ahead of Airbus in a substantial number. However Airbus likes to pad its order counting to Dec 31 as it like to report after Boeing makes a <br />order and delivery number in the first week of January. An Airbus net number is tricky as it does not like to post period numbers as well as it likes to post program life numbers, making the peanut gallery use its collective calculator to figure out what it really did for the year. However Boeing is more direct and does not try to fog out the numbers for the casual reader.<br /><br />So Boeing is in excellent shape to surpass Airbus in both Orders and Delivery this year and regain the top spot thanks to the 787 and 747.Trapperpkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06686169732747813142noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7553457216067299334.post-30243683238887311652012-09-24T16:12:32.611-04:002012-09-24T16:12:32.611-04:00Total 2012 Deliveries Through August
737 747 7...Total 2012 Deliveries Through August<br />737 747 767 777 787<br />273 18 18 55 16 <br /><br />Average <br /><br />34.125 2.25 2.25 6.875 2 <br /><br />Next 4 Months Adjusted<br /><br />136.5 9 9 27.5 38 <br /><br />Total Year Projection <br /><br />409.5 27 27 82.5 54 <br /><br />Total 600Trapperpkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06686169732747813142noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7553457216067299334.post-58320460209511095112012-09-24T14:45:52.522-04:002012-09-24T14:45:52.522-04:00Which one of LOT's frames is going to be first...Which one of LOT's frames is going to be first? My bet is on LRB, as it needs no change incorporation, so it possibly can be prepared faster. Am I correct?Maciushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16554304837092156634noreply@blogger.com